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Atl. Madrid vs Malaga prediction — La Liga

La Liga · Spain
Atl. Madrid €629.30m
Full time 2 : 0
Malaga €38.62m
1 1.52
X 4.85
2 7.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
65%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.22 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Atl. Madrid 57%@1.52
Draw 26%@4.85
Malaga 17%@7.50
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 65%@1.22
Under 1.5 35%@2.27
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.89
No 56%@2.00
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 55%@3.03
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Atl. MadridModelMalaga
1.91xG1.49
49%Ball possession51%
15Shots12
6Shots on goal7
7Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
11Fouls made11
Atl. MadridRealMalaga
0.82xG0.16
53%Ball possession47%
15Shots5
6Shots on goal1
6Corner kicks1
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls2
17Fouls made11
Atl. MadridReal · ModelMalaga
0.821.91xG0.161.49
53%49%Ball possession47%51%
1515Shots512
66Shots on goal17
67Corner kicks14
22Yellow cards32
22Offside calls22
1711Fouls made1111

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Atl. MadridPer gameMalaga
1.4Goals for / game1.8
1.5Goals against / game1.3
47%Ball possession43%
11.0Shots per game11.0
4.9Corners per game4.3
1.25Expected goals1.13

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Atl. MadridRateMalaga
50%Wins40%
70%Over 1.580%
60%Over 2.560%
60%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Atl. Madrid WWWLL
W 20 Sept Atl. Madrid Real Madrid 2 1 3.60 2.05
W 16 Sept Atl. Madrid Osasuna 4 0 1.36 10.50
W 13 Sept Real Sociedad Atl. Madrid 0 3 3.45 2.17
L 9 Sept Liverpool(Eng) Atl. Madrid(Esp) 2 1 1.80 4.75
L 5 Sept Athletic C Atl. Madrid 3 0 3.00 2.55
W 29 Aug Sevilla Atl. Madrid 1 3 4.30 2.00
D 23 Aug Atl. Madrid Villarreal 2 2 1.87 4.40
W 14 Aug Marseille(Fra) Atl. Madrid(Esp) 1 2 3.05 2.22
L 9 Aug Manchester City Atl. Madrid 3 1 1.82 3.90
L 1 Aug Manchester Utd Atl. Madrid 2 1 2.25 3.20
Malaga LLDDL
L 20 Sept Getafe Malaga 1 0 1.94 4.55
L 17 Sept Malaga Villarreal 1 3 3.55 2.12
D 13 Sept Celta Vigo Malaga 1 1 1.76 5.25
D 6 Sept Malaga Levante 0 0 2.45 3.00
L 30 Aug Real Madrid Malaga 4 0 1.12 26.00
D 24 Aug Malaga Dep. A Coruna 1 1 2.62 3.40
D 12 Aug Malaga Fulham 2 2 3.75 2.00
L 7 Aug Ceuta Malaga 2 1 3.35 2.30
W 6 Aug Malaga Al Arabi 4 2 1.93 3.20
D 30 Jul Malaga Al Ittihad 2 2 – –

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Barcelona 8 +24 22
2 Atl. Madrid 8 +9 17
3 Betis 8 +2 17
4 Real Madrid 8 +10 16
5 Sevilla 8 +1 14
6 Alaves 8 +5 12
7 Dep. A Coruna 9 +2 12
8 Real Sociedad 8 -4 11
9 Villarreal 8 +1 9
10 Athletic C 7 +1 9
11 Getafe 8 -3 9
12 Rayo Vallecano 8 -5 9
13 Osasuna 8 -7 9
14 Celta Vigo 8 +2 8
15 Espanyol 8 0 8
16 Racing S 8 -10 8
17 Levante 8 -4 7
18 Elche 8 -6 6
19 Valencia 8 -9 5
20 Malaga 8 -9 4
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