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Athletic Club vs Vila Nova prediction — Serie B

Serie B · Brazil
Athletic Club €12.38m
Full time 5 : 0
Vila Nova €11.00m
1 2.80
X 3.00
2 2.75

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
84%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.50 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Athletic Club 25%@2.80
Draw 23%@3.00
Vila Nova 52%@2.75
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 16%@7.88
Under 2.5 84%@1.50
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 34%@2.12
No 66%@1.72
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 62%@1.58
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Athletic ClubModelVila Nova
1.03xG0.96
46%Ball possession54%
10Shots12
3Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
13Fouls made14
Athletic ClubRealVila Nova
2.90xG0.87
43%Ball possession57%
14Shots12
11Shots on goal4
2Corner kicks2
3Yellow cards2
1Offside calls0
17Fouls made11
Athletic ClubReal · ModelVila Nova
2.901.03xG0.870.96
43%46%Ball possession57%54%
1410Shots1212
113Shots on goal45
24Corner kicks25
32Yellow cards22
12Offside calls02
1713Fouls made1114

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Athletic ClubPer gameVila Nova
1.0Goals for / game1.4
1.2Goals against / game0.8
43%Ball possession52%
11.1Shots per game12.7
4.0Corners per game5.4
1.01Expected goals1.14

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Athletic ClubRateVila Nova
30%Wins50%
70%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.530%
50%BTTS20%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Athletic Club LDDWL
L 2 Oct Athletic Club Sport Recife 1 2 2.57 3.05
D 27 Sept Fortaleza Athletic Club 2 2 1.62 7.40
D 19 Sept Athletic Club Botafogo SP 1 1 2.35 3.40
W 13 Sept Juventude Athletic Club 0 2 1.70 6.00
L 9 Sept Cuiaba Athletic Club 3 0 1.95 4.75
L 29 Aug Nautico Athletic Club 2 1 1.80 4.70
L 24 Aug Athletic Club Novorizontino 1 4 3.35 2.38
L 20 Aug Athletic Club CRB 0 2 2.50 3.10
W 16 Aug America MG Athletic Club 1 3 2.40 3.25
W 9 Aug Athletic Club Criciuma 2 0 3.05 2.55
Vila Nova WWWDW
W 3 Oct Botafogo SP Vila Nova 0 1 2.48 3.05
W 26 Sept Vila Nova Londrina 2 0 1.67 5.40
W 18 Sept Vila Nova America MG 1 0 1.43 9.00
D 15 Sept Avai Vila Nova 1 1 2.53 3.10
W 10 Sept Vila Nova Goias 2 0 2.15 4.30
W 30 Aug Vila Nova Ceara 2 0 1.86 5.00
D 23 Aug Operario-PR Vila Nova 0 0 2.32 3.50
W 20 Aug Vila Nova Ponte Preta 6 0 1.38 9.75
W 15 Aug Atletico GO Vila Nova 0 2 2.00 4.10
L 8 Aug Vila Nova Sport Recife 0 1 2.32 3.25

Past meetings

Athletic Club
0·2·1
Vila Nova
  • May 2026 Vila Nova 1 - 1 Athletic Club
  • Sept 2025 Vila Nova 1 - 1 Athletic Club
  • May 2025 Athletic Club 0 - 1 Vila Nova

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Vila Nova 33 +13 59
2 Juventude 33 +16 58
3 Novorizontino 33 +23 56
4 Fortaleza 34 +9 56
5 Atletico GO 34 +12 55
6 Criciuma 33 +6 55
7 Sport Recife 34 +9 50
8 CRB 33 +2 50
9 Operario-PR 33 +2 50
10 Cuiaba 33 +7 48
11 Sao Bernardo 33 +11 47
12 Athletic Club 33 +2 44
13 Nautico 33 +1 44
14 Goias 33 -9 44
15 Ceara 33 -5 41
16 Botafogo SP 33 -3 37
17 Avai 33 -12 32
18 Londrina 33 -6 30
19 America MG 33 -29 19
20 Ponte Preta 34 -49 16
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