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Aston Villa vs Arsenal prediction — Premier League

Premier League · England
1 6.50
X 4.65
2 1.57

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
57%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @2.55 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Aston Villa 24%@6.50
Draw 33%@4.65
Arsenal 43%@1.57
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 78%@1.24
Under 1.5 22%@4.40
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 40%@1.84
No 60%@1.95

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Aston VillaModelArsenal
1.15xG1.88
46%Ball possession54%
10Shots15
5Shots on goal7
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
11Fouls made11
Aston VillaRealArsenal
0.32xG1.05
39%Ball possession61%
7Shots7
0Shots on goal2
2Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards1
0Offside calls8
17Fouls made6
Aston VillaReal · ModelArsenal
0.321.15xG1.051.88
39%46%Ball possession61%54%
710Shots715
05Shots on goal27
24Corner kicks44
32Yellow cards12
01Offside calls82
1711Fouls made611

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Aston VillaPer gameArsenal
1.9Goals for / game1.9
1.8Goals against / game1.0
41%Ball possession54%
11.6Shots per game12.9
3.8Corners per game4.7
1.28Expected goals1.78

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Aston VillaRateArsenal
40%Wins60%
100%Over 1.580%
100%Over 2.560%
70%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Aston Villa WWWLW
W 2 Oct Sevilla(Esp) Aston Villa(Eng) 1 3 2.60 2.60
W 19 Sept Tottenham Aston Villa 2 3 1.92 4.20
W 16 Sept Coventry Aston Villa 1 3 3.40 2.17
L 12 Sept Aston Villa Nottingham 1 2 2.25 3.40
W 8 Sept Club Brugge KV(Bel) Aston Villa(Eng) 2 3 2.60 2.82
D 5 Sept Hull Aston Villa 0 0 4.35 1.95
L 23 Aug Brighton Aston Villa 4 0 2.12 3.50
L 15 Aug Borussia M(Ger) Aston Villa(Eng) 2 1 2.40 2.80
L 12 Aug PSG Aston Villa 2 1 1.67 5.60
L 7 Aug Bayern Munich Aston Villa 2 1 2.12 3.20
Arsenal LWWWW
L 19 Sept Brighton Arsenal 3 0 5.10 1.74
W 15 Sept Ipswich Arsenal 2 4 9.00 1.43
W 12 Sept Sunderland Arsenal 0 2 6.40 1.67
W 9 Sept Napoli(Ita) Arsenal(Eng) 0 1 6.10 1.70
W 6 Sept Arsenal Chelsea 2 1 1.82 5.00
W 21 Aug Arsenal Coventry 3 0 1.23 16.50
W 16 Aug Arsenal Manchester City 3 0 2.92 2.67
D 12 Aug Arsenal Como 1 1 1.75 5.00
L 9 Aug Arsenal Dortmund 2 3 – –
L 5 Aug Arsenal Betis 1 3 1.55 6.75

Past meetings

Aston Villa
2·1·2
Arsenal
  • Dec 2025 Arsenal 4 - 1 Aston Villa
  • Dec 2025 Aston Villa 2 - 1 Arsenal
  • Jan 2025 Arsenal 2 - 2 Aston Villa
  • Aug 2024 Aston Villa 0 - 2 Arsenal
  • Apr 2024 Arsenal 0 - 2 Aston Villa

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 +8 16
2 Arsenal 6 +4 13
3 Brighton 6 +11 11
4 Brentford 6 +6 10
5 Leeds 6 +4 10
6 Liverpool 6 +3 10
7 Everton 6 +3 10
8 Hull 6 +2 9
9 Newcastle 6 0 9
10 Chelsea 6 -2 8
11 Ipswich 6 -4 7
12 Manchester Utd 6 0 6
13 Nottingham 6 -1 6
14 Sunderland 6 -4 5
15 Crystal Palace 6 -5 5
16 Aston Villa 6 -5 5
17 Bournemouth 6 -2 4
18 Coventry 6 -9 4
19 Fulham 6 -3 3
20 Tottenham 6 -6 3