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AS Roma vs Fiorentina prediction — Serie A

Serie A · Italy
AS Roma €524.70m
Full time 4 : 0
Fiorentina €340.05m
1 1.78
X 3.90
2 5.15

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
85%Chance
AS Roma win 1 Odds @1.78 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
AS Roma 85%@1.78
Draw 9%@3.90
Fiorentina 6%@5.15
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 34%@2.60
Under 3.5 66%@1.34
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.89
No 45%@1.90
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 76%@1.41
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AS RomaModelFiorentina
1.98xG0.95
57%Ball possession43%
16Shots9
9Shots on goal4
7Corner kicks3
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made11
AS RomaRealFiorentina
2.72xG0.27
61%Ball possession39%
17Shots9
8Shots on goal4
2Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
15Fouls made11
AS RomaReal · ModelFiorentina
2.721.98xG0.270.95
61%57%Ball possession39%43%
1716Shots99
89Shots on goal44
27Corner kicks33
21Yellow cards22
12Offside calls11
1512Fouls made1111

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AS RomaPer gameFiorentina
2.3Goals for / game2.2
1.5Goals against / game0.9
54%Ball possession44%
11.7Shots per game11.6
5.1Corners per game3.2
1.69Expected goals1.05

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AS RomaRateFiorentina
60%Wins50%
100%Over 1.570%
70%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

AS Roma DWDWW
D 19 Sept AS Roma Inter 2 2 2.80 2.63
W 14 Sept Torino AS Roma 0 2 6.80 1.58
D 10 Sept Fenerbahce(Tur) AS Roma(Ita) 1 1 4.05 2.00
W 5 Sept AS Roma Atalanta 2 1 1.72 5.30
W 31 Aug Lecce AS Roma 0 4 8.00 1.53
D 15 Aug Dortmund(Ger) AS Roma(Ita) 2 2 1.97 3.50
L 8 Aug Brighton AS Roma 3 0 2.37 2.85
W 4 Aug Newport AS Roma 1 4 18.00 1.13
L 1 Aug Cardiff AS Roma 4 1 4.90 1.60
D 26 Jul Cannes AS Roma 3 3 16.00 1.19
Fiorentina DWWLL
D 20 Sept Fiorentina Napoli 1 1 3.25 2.32
W 15 Sept Fiorentina Pisa 3 0 1.41 9.25
W 11 Sept Venezia Fiorentina 2 4 2.75 2.65
L 5 Sept Fiorentina Torino 1 2 2.18 3.95
L 29 Aug Fiorentina Frosinone 0 3 1.80 4.70
W 14 Aug Fiorentina Benevento 4 1 1.26 13.50
D 8 Aug Modena Fiorentina 0 0 – –
D 6 Aug Fiorentina Dep. A Coruna 1 1 1.84 4.20
D 1 Aug Real Madrid Fiorentina 2 2 1.90 3.95
W 29 Jul Watford Fiorentina 0 1 3.00 2.30

Past meetings

AS Roma
3·1·1
Fiorentina
  • May 2026 AS Roma 4 - 0 Fiorentina
  • Oct 2025 Fiorentina 1 - 2 AS Roma
  • May 2025 AS Roma 1 - 0 Fiorentina
  • Oct 2024 Fiorentina 5 - 1 AS Roma
  • Mar 2024 Fiorentina 2 - 2 AS Roma

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 AS Roma 6 +11 14
2 Inter 6 +7 14
3 Lazio 6 +5 14
4 Cagliari 6 +3 13
5 AC Milan 6 +6 12
6 Frosinone 7 +5 12
7 Juventus 6 +4 11
8 Como 6 +3 11
9 Sassuolo 7 0 9
10 Napoli 6 +1 8
11 Atalanta 6 -2 7
12 Lecce 6 -5 7
13 Udinese 6 -3 5
14 Torino 6 -3 5
15 Parma 6 -3 5
16 Monza 6 -4 5
17 Fiorentina 6 -6 5
18 Bologna 6 -3 3
19 Genoa 6 -7 2
20 Venezia 6 -9 1
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