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Arsenal vs Manchester City prediction — Community Shield

Community Shield · England
Arsenal €1.23bn
Full time 3 : 0
Manchester City €1.31bn
1 2.92
X 3.45
2 2.67

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
83%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.48 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Arsenal 21%@2.92
Draw 17%@3.45
Manchester City 62%@2.67
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 22%@4.93
Under 3.5 78%@1.39
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 32%@1.68
No 68%@2.20
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 70%@1.74
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

ArsenalModelManchester City
1.42xG1.68
45%Ball possession55%
13Shots18
5Shots on goal8
4Corner kicks8
2Yellow cards1
2Offside calls1
11Fouls made9
ArsenalRealManchester City
2.19xG0.77
41%Ball possession59%
9Shots12
5Shots on goal5
2Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
3Offside calls1
12Fouls made11
ArsenalReal · ModelManchester City
2.191.42xG0.771.68
41%45%Ball possession59%55%
913Shots1218
55Shots on goal58
24Corner kicks48
22Yellow cards21
32Offside calls11
1211Fouls made119

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

ArsenalPer gameManchester City
1.7Goals for / game2.1
1.0Goals against / game1.0
54%Ball possession61%
13.1Shots per game18.6
4.5Corners per game7.2
1.84Expected goals1.91

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

ArsenalRateManchester City
60%Wins60%
70%Over 1.590%
50%Over 2.570%
60%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Arsenal LWWWW
L 19 Sept Brighton Arsenal 3 0 5.10 1.74
W 15 Sept Ipswich Arsenal 2 4 9.00 1.43
W 12 Sept Sunderland Arsenal 0 2 6.40 1.67
W 9 Sept Napoli(Ita) Arsenal(Eng) 0 1 6.10 1.70
W 6 Sept Arsenal Chelsea 2 1 1.82 5.00
W 31 Aug Aston Villa Arsenal 0 1 6.50 1.57
W 21 Aug Arsenal Coventry 3 0 1.23 16.50
D 12 Aug Arsenal Como 1 1 1.75 5.00
L 9 Aug Arsenal Dortmund 2 3 – –
L 5 Aug Arsenal Betis 1 3 1.55 6.75
Manchester City WWWWW
W 20 Sept Manchester City Sunderland 5 3 1.37 9.50
W 17 Sept Manchester City Norwich 5 0 1.19 26.00
W 13 Sept Manchester Utd Manchester City 0 1 3.15 2.40
W 8 Sept FC Porto(Por) Manchester City(Eng) 0 2 5.25 1.73
W 5 Sept Manchester City Coventry 1 0 1.23 14.00
W 28 Aug Crystal Palace Manchester City 1 4 5.40 1.68
W 23 Aug Manchester City Bournemouth 2 1 1.53 6.50
W 9 Aug Manchester City Atl. Madrid 3 1 1.82 3.90
W 5 Aug K-League S Manchester City 1 3 6.20 1.39
D 1 Aug Manchester City Inter 1 1 2.30 2.95

Past meetings

Arsenal
1·3·2
Manchester City
  • Apr 2026 Manchester City 2 - 1 Arsenal
  • Mar 2026 Arsenal 0 - 2 Manchester City
  • Sept 2025 Arsenal 1 - 1 Manchester City
  • Feb 2025 Arsenal 5 - 1 Manchester City
  • Sept 2024 Manchester City 2 - 2 Arsenal
  • Mar 2024 Manchester City 0 - 0 Arsenal
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