Live data Football predictions by AI, with a record that stays public
18+
bananagoal
⌘K Sign in Premium

Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction — Premier League

Premier League · England
1 1.82
X 4.10
2 5.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
66%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.47 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Arsenal 57%@1.82
Draw 24%@4.10
Chelsea 19%@5.00
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 34%@2.85
Under 3.5 66%@1.47
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.72
No 44%@2.10
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 55%@2.35
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

ArsenalModelChelsea
1.84xG1.32
54%Ball possession46%
14Shots12
7Shots on goal6
5Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards2
4Offside calls2
10Fouls made10
ArsenalRealChelsea
1.99xG0.34
55%Ball possession45%
16Shots13
9Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards4
3Offside calls0
13Fouls made16
ArsenalReal · ModelChelsea
1.991.84xG0.341.32
55%54%Ball possession45%46%
1614Shots1312
97Shots on goal56
55Corner kicks34
21Yellow cards42
34Offside calls02
1310Fouls made1610

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

ArsenalPer gameChelsea
1.9Goals for / game2.6
1.0Goals against / game1.8
53%Ball possession52%
12.1Shots per game16.5
4.8Corners per game4.7
1.75Expected goals1.98

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

ArsenalRateChelsea
60%Wins60%
80%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.580%
60%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Arsenal LWWWW
L 19 Sept Brighton Arsenal 3 0 5.10 1.74
W 15 Sept Ipswich Arsenal 2 4 9.00 1.43
W 12 Sept Sunderland Arsenal 0 2 6.40 1.67
W 9 Sept Napoli(Ita) Arsenal(Eng) 0 1 6.10 1.70
W 31 Aug Aston Villa Arsenal 0 1 6.50 1.57
W 21 Aug Arsenal Coventry 3 0 1.23 16.50
W 16 Aug Arsenal Manchester City 3 0 2.92 2.67
D 12 Aug Arsenal Como 1 1 1.75 5.00
L 9 Aug Arsenal Dortmund 2 3 – –
L 5 Aug Arsenal Betis 1 3 1.55 6.75
Chelsea LDWWW
L 18 Sept Brentford Chelsea 3 0 2.70 2.62
D 12 Sept Chelsea Hull 2 2 1.24 14.50
W 9 Sept Chelsea Leeds 6 3 1.95 3.95
W 30 Aug Chelsea Brighton 4 3 1.92 4.15
W 27 Aug Chelsea Luton 2 0 1.12 21.00
W 24 Aug Fulham Chelsea 2 3 3.80 2.12
W 15 Aug Chelsea(Eng) Real Sociedad(Esp) 3 1 1.57 5.60
D 9 Aug Johor DT Chelsea 3 3 4.80 1.60
W 8 Aug Chelsea AC Milan 3 0 2.02 3.50
L 5 Aug Chelsea Juventus 0 1 2.40 2.82

Past meetings

Arsenal
4·2·0
Chelsea
  • Mar 2026 Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea
  • Feb 2026 Arsenal 1 - 0 Chelsea
  • Jan 2026 Chelsea 2 - 3 Arsenal
  • Nov 2025 Chelsea 1 - 1 Arsenal
  • Mar 2025 Arsenal 1 - 0 Chelsea
  • Nov 2024 Chelsea 1 - 1 Arsenal

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 +8 16
2 Arsenal 6 +4 13
3 Brighton 6 +11 11
4 Brentford 6 +6 10
5 Leeds 6 +4 10
6 Liverpool 6 +3 10
7 Everton 6 +3 10
8 Hull 6 +2 9
9 Newcastle 6 0 9
10 Chelsea 6 -2 8
11 Ipswich 6 -4 7
12 Manchester Utd 6 0 6
13 Nottingham 6 -1 6
14 Sunderland 6 -4 5
15 Crystal Palace 6 -5 5
16 Aston Villa 6 -5 5
17 Bournemouth 6 -2 4
18 Coventry 6 -9 4
19 Fulham 6 -3 3
20 Tottenham 6 -6 3