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Aretxabaleta vs Derio prediction — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

1 2.75
X 3.20
2 2.43

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
78%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.30 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Aretxabaleta 23%@2.75
Draw 20%@3.20
Derio 57%@2.43
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 28%@3.34
Under 3.5 72%@1.30
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.73
No 45%@2.00
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.75
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AretxabaletaPer gameDerio
1.3Goals for / game0.9
1.7Goals against / game1.1

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AretxabaletaRateDerio
30%Wins20%
70%Over 1.560%
70%Over 2.520%
60%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Aretxabaleta WDDWW
W 3 Oct Lagun Onak Aretxabaleta 1 2 – –
D 19 Sept Durango Aretxabaleta 0 0 2.07 3.40
D 13 Sept Aretxabaleta Beasain 0 0 3.20 2.22
W 5 Sept Touring Aretxabaleta 0 1 1.82 4.05
W 9 May Aretxabaleta Zamudio 3 1 – –
L 3 May Santurtzi Aretxabaleta 2 1 – –
L 26 Apr Aretxabaleta Real Sociedad C 2 5 – –
L 15 Apr Pasaia Aretxabaleta 3 2 2.15 3.65
W 11 Apr Aretxabaleta Lagun Onak 2 1 2.92 2.42
L 2 Apr Deusto Aretxabaleta 3 0 2.10 3.40
Derio WWLDD
W 4 Oct Derio Beasain 2 0 2.55 2.72
W 20 Sept Derio Santurtzi 2 0 1.93 3.75
L 16 Sept Derio Salamanca 3 5 3.25 2.16
D 12 Sept San Ignacio Derio 1 1 2.27 3.15
D 9 Sept Compostela Derio 1 1 1.70 4.90
D 5 Sept Derio Real Sociedad C 0 0 2.37 2.87
L 29 Aug Derio(Esp) Sestao(Esp) 0 1 4.25 2.02
L 15 Jul Derio Athletic C 0 3 49.00 1.05
L 6 Jun Leioa Derio 1 0 2.15 4.00
L 31 May Derio Leioa 0 1 2.60 3.20

Past meetings

Aretxabaleta
0·0·3
Derio
  • Mar 2026 Aretxabaleta 1 - 2 Derio
  • Oct 2025 Derio 1 - 0 Aretxabaleta
  • Mar 2025 Derio 2 - 0 Aretxabaleta