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Alianza vs Santa Fe prediction — Primera A

Primera A · Colombia
Alianza €5.28m
Full time 1 : 4
Santa Fe €12.60m
1 2.88
X 3.25
2 2.57

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
83%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.45 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Alianza 19%@2.88
Draw 17%@3.25
Santa Fe 64%@2.57
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 20%@6.44
Under 2.5 80%@1.61
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 39%@1.93
No 61%@1.80
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 73%@1.60
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AlianzaModelSanta Fe
1.14xG0.96
47%Ball possession53%
9Shots12
4Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made11
AlianzaRealSanta Fe
0.85xG1.21
51%Ball possession49%
14Shots8
1Shots on goal7
6Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards3
0Offside calls1
6Fouls made6
AlianzaReal · ModelSanta Fe
0.851.14xG1.210.96
51%47%Ball possession49%53%
149Shots812
14Shots on goal74
64Corner kicks65
22Yellow cards32
01Offside calls11
613Fouls made611

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AlianzaPer gameSanta Fe
0.8Goals for / game1.0
1.7Goals against / game0.8
42%Ball possession47%
9.8Shots per game12.4
3.0Corners per game4.6
1.00Expected goals0.87

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AlianzaRateSanta Fe
20%Wins30%
60%Over 1.560%
50%Over 2.520%
50%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Alianza LWWWL
L 3 Oct Dep. Cali Alianza 3 1 1.53 7.50
W 27 Sept Jaguares Alianza 1 2 2.50 3.00
W 16 Sept Chico Alianza 1 2 1.97 4.80
W 13 Sept Alianza Junior 1 0 3.30 2.20
L 10 Sept Once Caldas Alianza 1 0 1.45 9.50
L 3 Sept America De Cali Alianza 3 0 1.38 11.50
L 30 Aug Alianza Atl. Nacional 1 5 4.10 2.02
L 26 Aug Cucuta Alianza 1 0 2.37 3.35
D 22 Aug Alianza Pereira 0 0 1.58 6.60
L 9 Aug Alianza Bucaramanga 2 3 3.10 2.60
Santa Fe WDLLW
W 29 Sept Pereira Santa Fe 1 2 3.96 1.88
D 26 Sept U. Magdalena Santa Fe 1 1 3.15 2.27
L 23 Sept Santa Fe Dep. Cali 0 1 2.05 4.15
L 15 Sept Vasco(Bra) Santa Fe(Col) 2 0 1.45 9.00
W 12 Sept Santa Fe Deportes 1 0 2.72 2.75
D 8 Sept Santa Fe(Col) Vasco(Bra) 0 0 2.32 4.00
D 6 Sept Santa Fe Fortaleza 2 2 1.78 4.99
W 3 Sept Santa Fe Millonarios 3 2 3.60 2.30
D 30 Aug Junior Santa Fe 1 1 1.66 5.50
D 27 Aug River Plate(Arg) Santa Fe(Col) 1 1 1.28 14.00

Past meetings

Alianza
1·2·3
Santa Fe
  • Mar 2026 Santa Fe 1 - 1 Alianza
  • Nov 2025 Santa Fe 1 - 0 Alianza
  • Sept 2025 Santa Fe 4 - 1 Alianza
  • Aug 2025 Alianza 1 - 1 Santa Fe
  • May 2025 Alianza 6 - 1 Santa Fe
  • Sept 2024 Santa Fe 2 - 0 Alianza

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 36 +35 76
2 America De Cali 31 +19 55
3 Junior 36 +7 52
4 Deportes 33 +9 51
5 Santa Fe 31 +16 49
6 Millonarios 30 +18 48
7 Ind. Medellin 29 +9 47
8 Dep. Cali 28 +12 46
9 Once Caldas 30 +7 44
10 Bucaramanga 26 +10 38
11 Inter Bogotá 32 -10 36
12 Aguilas 28 -7 35
13 Dep. Pasto 29 -8 34
14 Cucuta 27 -14 30
15 Chico 27 -19 29
16 Llaneros 28 -8 28
17 Alianza 28 -18 28
18 Fortaleza 27 -11 26
19 Jaguares 29 -22 23
20 Pereira 29 -25 18
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