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Alianza vs Motagua prediction — CONCACAF Central American Cup

1 2.28
X 3.40
2 2.86

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
88%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.34 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Alianza 18%@2.28
Draw 12%@3.40
Motagua 70%@2.86
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 12%@9.83
Under 3.5 88%@1.34
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 30%@1.79
No 70%@2.12
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 3.5 70%@2.27
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AlianzaModelMotagua
0.77xG1.57
47%Ball possession53%
8Shots12
4Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
14Fouls made13
AlianzaRealMotagua
1.17xG0.98
50%Ball possession50%
18Shots11
2Shots on goal1
9Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls3
18Fouls made11
AlianzaReal · ModelMotagua
1.170.77xG0.981.57
50%47%Ball possession50%53%
188Shots1112
24Shots on goal14
95Corner kicks46
12Yellow cards22
12Offside calls32
1814Fouls made1113

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AlianzaPer gameMotagua
0.9Goals for / game1.4
1.4Goals against / game0.9
47%Ball possession53%
8.6Shots per game10.6
4.4Corners per game6.4

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AlianzaRateMotagua
30%Wins50%
70%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.540%
30%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Alianza(Slv) DWDDW
D 4 Oct Alianza Firpo 2 2 2.62 2.70
W 1 Oct Alianza Platense 2 1 1.65 4.75
D 27 Sept Alianza Inca Aruba 1 1 1.47 6.75
D 24 Sept Alianza Fuerte S 2 2 1.53 6.20
W 20 Sept Alianza Municipal L 3 2 2.22 3.20
L 10 Sept Motagua(Hon) Alianza(Slv) 3 0 1.52 6.30
D 6 Sept Aguila Alianza 2 2 2.17 3.20
W 30 Aug Alianza Atletico Balboa 2 0 1.62 5.20
D 26 Aug Platense Alianza 2 2 3.20 2.27
L 23 Aug Metapan Alianza 2 0 2.07 3.60
Motagua(Hon) LWWDW
L 20 Sept Real Espana Motagua 1 0 2.30 3.05
W 13 Sept Motagua Genesis 1 0 1.60 4.85
W 10 Sept Motagua(Hon) Alianza(Slv) 3 0 1.52 6.30
D 6 Sept Atletico I Motagua 0 0 3.75 1.90
W 30 Aug Motagua Olancho 2 1 1.71 4.40
D 26 Aug Municipal(Gua) Motagua(Hon) 1 1 2.40 2.94
W 22 Aug Motagua UPNFM 4 1 1.55 5.50
L 17 Aug Olimpia Motagua 3 1 2.15 3.75
D 13 Aug Motagua Cartagines 1 1 2.00 3.60
L 10 Aug Motagua Estrella Roja 0 2 1.30 8.10

Past meetings

Alianza(Slv)
0·0·1
Motagua(Hon)
  • Sept 2026 Motagua 3 - 0 Alianza

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Olimpia 6 +12 18
2 Alajuelense 6 +6 13
3 Motagua 6 +9 12
4 Cartagines 6 +7 12
5 Saprissa 6 +3 10
6 Alianza 6 -2 10
7 Marathon 6 +3 8
8 Herediano 4 +2 7
9 Firpo 6 -2 7
10 Municipal 4 +1 6
11 Plaza Amador 4 0 6
12 Mixco 4 0 6
13 Esteli 4 -1 6
14 FAS 4 0 4
15 Xelaju 4 -2 4
16 Alianza 4 -4 3
17 Diriangen 4 -6 3
18 UMECIT 4 -6 0
19 Antigua 4 -7 0
20 Verdes 4 -13 0