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Alianza vs Atl. Nacional prediction — Primera A

Primera A · Colombia
Alianza €5.53m
Full time 1 : 5
Atl. Nacional €25.58m
1 4.10
X 3.40
2 2.02

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
95%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.28 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Alianza 10%@4.10
Draw 12%@3.40
Atl. Nacional 78%@2.02
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 11%@10.36
Under 3.5 89%@1.28
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 26%@1.87
No 74%@1.85
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 84%@1.45
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AlianzaModelAtl. Nacional
0.89xG1.21
45%Ball possession55%
11Shots17
3Shots on goal8
3Corner kicks8
3Yellow cards3
2Offside calls2
15Fouls made13
AlianzaRealAtl. Nacional
1.09xG1.67
37%Ball possession63%
8Shots17
2Shots on goal9
2Corner kicks6
4Yellow cards1
3Offside calls3
16Fouls made13
AlianzaReal · ModelAtl. Nacional
1.090.89xG1.671.21
37%45%Ball possession63%55%
811Shots1717
23Shots on goal98
23Corner kicks68
43Yellow cards13
32Offside calls32
1615Fouls made1313

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AlianzaPer gameAtl. Nacional
1.2Goals for / game1.6
1.2Goals against / game0.9
51%Ball possession59%
12.1Shots per game18.1
4.1Corners per game8.1
1.13Expected goals1.26

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AlianzaRateAtl. Nacional
20%Wins70%
70%Over 1.580%
50%Over 2.560%
60%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Alianza LWLWW
L 3 Oct Dep. Cali Alianza 3 1 1.53 7.50
W 27 Sept Jaguares Alianza 1 2 2.50 3.00
L 19 Sept Alianza Santa Fe 1 4 2.88 2.57
W 16 Sept Chico Alianza 1 2 1.97 4.80
W 13 Sept Alianza Junior 1 0 3.30 2.20
L 10 Sept Once Caldas Alianza 1 0 1.45 9.50
L 3 Sept America De Cali Alianza 3 0 1.38 11.50
L 26 Aug Cucuta Alianza 1 0 2.37 3.35
D 22 Aug Alianza Pereira 0 0 1.58 6.60
L 9 Aug Alianza Bucaramanga 2 3 3.10 2.60
Atl. Nacional WDDLW
W 1 Oct Atl. Nacional Junior 3 1 1.45 6.75
D 26 Sept Atl. Nacional(Col) Chapecoense-sc(Bra) 1 1 2.22 2.90
D 25 Sept Atl. Nacional Millonarios 1 1 1.82 4.60
L 21 Sept Llaneros Atl. Nacional 2 0 5.00 1.78
W 17 Sept Inter Bogota Atl. Nacional 2 3 5.80 1.64
W 13 Sept Atl. Nacional Aguilas 2 0 1.37 10.75
W 8 Sept Atl. Nacional Dep. Cali 3 0 1.47 7.60
W 27 Aug Atl. Nacional Dep. Cali 2 1 1.54 6.75
W 23 Aug Fortaleza Atl. Nacional 1 2 6.40 1.67
L 10 Aug America De Cali Atl. Nacional 1 0 2.43 3.15

Past meetings

Alianza
1·0·3
Atl. Nacional
  • Feb 2026 Atl. Nacional 3 - 0 Alianza
  • Aug 2025 Atl. Nacional 3 - 0 Alianza
  • Feb 2025 Alianza 3 - 2 Atl. Nacional
  • Jan 2024 Atl. Nacional 3 - 1 Alianza

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 36 +35 76
2 America De Cali 31 +19 55
3 Junior 36 +7 52
4 Deportes 33 +9 51
5 Santa Fe 31 +16 49
6 Millonarios 30 +18 48
7 Ind. Medellin 29 +9 47
8 Dep. Cali 28 +12 46
9 Once Caldas 30 +7 44
10 Bucaramanga 26 +10 38
11 Inter Bogotá 32 -10 36
12 Aguilas 28 -7 35
13 Dep. Pasto 29 -8 34
14 Cucuta 27 -14 30
15 Chico 27 -19 29
16 Llaneros 28 -8 28
17 Alianza 28 -18 28
18 Fortaleza 27 -11 26
19 Jaguares 29 -22 23
20 Pereira 29 -25 18
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