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Alianza Lima vs Deportivo prediction — Primera División

1 1.32
X 5.50
2 16.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
89%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.34 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Alianza Lima 57%@1.32
Draw 32%@5.50
Deportivo 11%@16.00
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 11%@10.84
Under 3.5 89%@1.34
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 21%@2.60
No 79%@1.56
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 82%@1.22
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Alianza LimaModelDeportivo
1.97xG1.15
56%Ball possession44%
19Shots9
9Shots on goal4
7Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
10Fouls made13
Alianza LimaRealDeportivo
1.96xG1.36
71%Ball possession29%
25Shots8
6Shots on goal5
10Corner kicks2
3Yellow cards3
6Offside calls0
13Fouls made16
Alianza LimaReal · ModelDeportivo
1.961.97xG1.361.15
71%56%Ball possession29%44%
2519Shots89
69Shots on goal54
107Corner kicks23
32Yellow cards32
61Offside calls02
1310Fouls made1613

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Alianza LimaPer gameDeportivo
1.2Goals for / game1.4
1.3Goals against / game0.6
53%Ball possession47%
14.4Shots per game11.3
5.4Corners per game3.4
1.68Expected goals1.27

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Alianza LimaRateDeportivo
30%Wins50%
80%Over 1.550%
50%Over 2.540%
70%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Alianza Lima LWLDD
L 1 Oct Alianza Lima(Per) Palestino(Chi) 1 2 1.98 3.50
W 19 Sept Alianza Lima ADT 2 0 1.28 10.00
L 13 Sept Alianza Lima Universitario 1 2 2.28 3.55
D 6 Sept Juan Pablo II Alianza Lima 1 1 4.10 1.92
D 23 Aug FBC Melgar Alianza Lima 1 1 2.18 3.55
W 16 Aug Alianza Lima Cajamarca 1 0 1.30 10.50
D 9 Aug Sport Boys Alianza Lima 1 1 4.25 1.90
W 2 Aug Alianza Lima Alianza Atl. 3 1 1.34 9.50
D 26 Jul Comercian Alianza Lima 2 2 3.70 2.20
W 20 Jul Alianza Lima Sport Huancayo 2 1 1.42 8.50
Deportivo WLWWD
W 20 Sept Deportivo Universitario 4 0 2.40 3.15
L 13 Sept Sport Boys Deportivo 1 0 1.74 5.00
W 6 Sept Deportivo Grau 4 2 1.57 6.50
W 23 Aug Deportivo Cusco 4 1 2.73 2.70
D 17 Aug Cienciano Deportivo 0 0 2.12 3.50
W 9 Aug Deportivo Moquegua 2 0 1.62 5.25
W 2 Aug ADT Deportivo 0 1 2.10 3.60
W 27 Jul Deportivo FC Cajamarca 2 1 1.73 5.20
L 17 Jul Sporting Deportivo 1 0 1.40 7.50
D 12 Jul Moquegua Deportivo 0 0 2.65 2.92

Past meetings

Alianza Lima
3·1·1
Deportivo
  • Mar 2026 Deportivo 1 - 1 Alianza Lima
  • Sept 2025 Alianza Lima 3 - 4 Deportivo
  • Apr 2025 Deportivo 0 - 1 Alianza Lima
  • Oct 2024 Deportivo 1 - 2 Alianza Lima
  • May 2024 Alianza Lima 3 - 2 Deportivo

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 26 +25 53
2 Deportivo 26 +15 47
3 Universitario 26 +10 46
4 Cusco 27 +3 46
5 FBC Melgar 26 +14 43
6 Los Chankas 27 -9 42
7 Cienciano 26 +8 41
8 Alianza Atl. 27 +3 38
9 Sport Boys 27 +3 38
10 Sporting 26 +9 37
11 Sport Huancayo 27 -6 36
12 Juan Pablo II 26 -10 33
13 Comercian 27 -3 30
14 Grau 26 -5 30
15 FC Cajamarca 26 -9 27
16 ADT 27 -11 26
17 Moquegua 26 -16 25
18 Cajamarca 25 -21 14