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Alianza Atl. vs Sporting prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Peru
Alianza Atl. €5.95m
Full time 1 : 0
Sporting €13.40m
1 3.10
X 3.40
2 2.43

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
87%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.37 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Alianza Atl. 17%@3.10
Draw 16%@3.40
Sporting 67%@2.43
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 29%@3.33
Under 3.5 71%@1.36
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.71
No 44%@2.12
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 71%@1.61
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Alianza Atl.ModelSporting
1.17xG0.92
47%Ball possession53%
12Shots11
5Shots on goal5
3Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
13Fouls made13
Alianza Atl.RealSporting
1.79xG0.10
46%Ball possession54%
10Shots4
3Shots on goal0
4Corner kicks3
1Yellow cards3
1Offside calls1
5Fouls made10
Alianza Atl.Real · ModelSporting
1.791.17xG0.100.92
46%47%Ball possession54%53%
1012Shots411
35Shots on goal05
43Corner kicks35
12Yellow cards32
12Offside calls12
513Fouls made1013

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Alianza Atl.Per gameSporting
1.6Goals for / game1.4
1.5Goals against / game0.7
48%Ball possession55%
11.4Shots per game12.5
3.2Corners per game5.9
0.95Expected goals1.05

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Alianza Atl.RateSporting
60%Wins50%
80%Over 1.570%
60%Over 2.530%
70%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Alianza Atl. WWLWW
W 27 Sept Sport Boys Alianza Atl. 2 5 3.60 2.25
W 18 Sept Alianza Atl. Comercian 2 1 1.70 5.00
L 13 Sept Grau Alianza Atl. 3 1 2.50 2.93
W 4 Sept Alianza Atl. Cajamarca 3 2 1.59 6.10
W 30 Aug Moquegua Alianza Atl. 1 4 2.89 2.75
D 25 Aug Alianza Atl. Cajamarca 1 1 1.71 6.10
D 15 Aug ADT Alianza Atl. 1 1 1.88 4.60
W 6 Aug Alianza Atl. Cienciano 1 0 2.18 3.45
L 2 Aug Alianza Lima Alianza Atl. 3 1 1.34 9.50
W 24 Jul Alianza Atl. Los Chankas 3 1 1.64 5.20
Sporting WWWWW
W 1 Oct Sporting ADT 5 0 1.55 6.50
W 27 Sept ADT Sporting 0 1 3.15 2.18
W 19 Sept Sporting Grau 3 1 1.34 8.50
W 13 Sept Moquegua Sporting 1 2 4.00 1.95
W 6 Sept Sporting Los Chankas 5 0 1.44 7.00
L 30 Aug Sport Boys Sporting 1 0 2.55 2.72
W 26 Aug Sporting Sport Huancayo 4 1 1.60 5.00
W 16 Aug Sporting Sport Huancayo 4 1 1.71 4.45
D 8 Aug Universitario Sporting 1 1 1.82 4.20
W 2 Aug Sporting Juan Pablo II 2 0 1.30 9.00

Past meetings

Alianza Atl.
2·1·2
Sporting
  • Mar 2026 Sporting 3 - 1 Alianza Atl.
  • Sept 2025 Sporting 0 - 0 Alianza Atl.
  • Apr 2025 Alianza Atl. 1 - 0 Sporting
  • Oct 2024 Alianza Atl. 1 - 0 Sporting
  • May 2024 Sporting 2 - 1 Alianza Atl.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 26 +25 53
2 Deportivo 26 +15 47
3 Universitario 26 +10 46
4 Cusco 27 +3 46
5 FBC Melgar 26 +14 43
6 Los Chankas 27 -9 42
7 Cienciano 26 +8 41
8 Alianza Atl. 27 +3 38
9 Sport Boys 27 +3 38
10 Sporting 26 +9 37
11 Sport Huancayo 27 -6 36
12 Juan Pablo II 26 -10 33
13 Comercian 27 -3 30
14 Grau 26 -5 30
15 FC Cajamarca 26 -9 27
16 ADT 27 -11 26
17 Moquegua 26 -16 25
18 Cajamarca 25 -21 14
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