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Alianza Atl. vs Comercian prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Peru
Alianza Atl. €6.28m
Full time 2 : 1
Comercian €6.70m
1 1.70
X 3.75
2 5.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
85%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.29 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Alianza Atl. 41%@1.70
Draw 19%@3.75
Comercian 40%@5.00
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 85%@1.29
Under 1.5 15%@7.31
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 78%@1.85
No 22%@1.88
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@2.76
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Alianza Atl.ModelComercian
1.53xG1.18
47%Ball possession53%
16Shots12
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
12Fouls made12
Alianza Atl.RealComercian
2.52xG0.80
68%Ball possession32%
26Shots10
5Shots on goal4
10Corner kicks3
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls0
11Fouls made14
Alianza Atl.Real · ModelComercian
2.521.53xG0.801.18
68%47%Ball possession32%53%
2616Shots1012
55Shots on goal44
105Corner kicks33
12Yellow cards22
11Offside calls02
1112Fouls made1412

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Alianza Atl.Per gameComercian
1.7Goals for / game1.6
1.6Goals against / game1.6
46%Ball possession56%
13.5Shots per game13.8
4.0Corners per game2.9
1.29Expected goals1.46

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Alianza Atl.RateComercian
50%Wins20%
80%Over 1.570%
60%Over 2.570%
80%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Alianza Atl. WLWWD
W 27 Sept Sport Boys Alianza Atl. 2 5 3.60 2.25
L 13 Sept Grau Alianza Atl. 3 1 2.50 2.93
W 4 Sept Alianza Atl. Cajamarca 3 2 1.59 6.10
W 30 Aug Moquegua Alianza Atl. 1 4 2.89 2.75
D 25 Aug Alianza Atl. Cajamarca 1 1 1.71 6.10
W 21 Aug Alianza Atl. Sporting 1 0 3.10 2.43
D 15 Aug ADT Alianza Atl. 1 1 1.88 4.60
W 6 Aug Alianza Atl. Cienciano 1 0 2.18 3.45
L 2 Aug Alianza Lima Alianza Atl. 3 1 1.34 9.50
W 24 Jul Alianza Atl. Los Chankas 3 1 1.64 5.20
Comercian LDLWL
L 12 Sept Comercian Sport Huancayo 0 1 2.10 3.55
D 6 Sept Universitario Comercian 2 2 1.35 9.50
L 28 Aug Comercian FC Cajamarca 2 3 1.63 5.60
W 22 Aug Cajamarca Comercian 1 3 2.16 3.55
L 14 Aug Grau Comercian 1 0 2.33 3.30
W 7 Aug Comercian Cusco 3 1 2.57 2.70
L 31 Jul Los Chankas Comercian 3 2 1.87 4.60
D 26 Jul Comercian Alianza Lima 2 2 3.70 2.20
D 18 Jul Moquegua Comercian 2 2 2.25 3.50
D 27 Jun Comercian Juan Pablo II 0 0 1.97 3.55

Past meetings

Alianza Atl.
2·0·2
Comercian
  • Apr 2026 Comercian 1 - 0 Alianza Atl.
  • Oct 2025 Comercian 1 - 0 Alianza Atl.
  • Jun 2025 Alianza Atl. 3 - 0 Comercian
  • Sept 2024 Alianza Atl. 1 - 0 Comercian

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 26 +25 53
2 Deportivo 26 +15 47
3 Universitario 26 +10 46
4 Cusco 27 +3 46
5 FBC Melgar 26 +14 43
6 Los Chankas 27 -9 42
7 Cienciano 26 +8 41
8 Alianza Atl. 27 +3 38
9 Sport Boys 27 +3 38
10 Sporting 26 +9 37
11 Sport Huancayo 27 -6 36
12 Juan Pablo II 26 -10 33
13 Comercian 27 -3 30
14 Grau 26 -5 30
15 FC Cajamarca 26 -9 27
16 ADT 27 -11 26
17 Moquegua 26 -16 25
18 Cajamarca 25 -21 14
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