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Alaves vs Villarreal prediction — La Liga

La Liga · Spain
Alaves €68.10m
Full time 1 : 0
Villarreal €324.60m
1 3.15
X 3.55
2 2.35

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
82%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.27 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Alaves 29%@3.15
Draw 26%@3.55
Villarreal 45%@2.35
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 76%@1.27
Under 1.5 24%@4.02
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 73%@1.66
No 27%@2.20
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@1.69
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AlavesModelVillarreal
1.45xG1.92
47%Ball possession53%
14Shots12
7Shots on goal8
6Corner kicks6
3Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
14Fouls made12
AlavesRealVillarreal
0.81xG1.28
25%Ball possession75%
9Shots18
2Shots on goal6
5Corner kicks9
3Yellow cards2
5Offside calls4
15Fouls made8
AlavesReal · ModelVillarreal
0.811.45xG1.281.92
25%47%Ball possession75%53%
914Shots1812
27Shots on goal68
56Corner kicks96
33Yellow cards22
52Offside calls41
1514Fouls made812

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AlavesPer gameVillarreal
1.4Goals for / game2.0
0.6Goals against / game1.3
40%Ball possession51%
13.3Shots per game16.2
5.5Corners per game5.4
1.55Expected goals2.63

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AlavesRateVillarreal
50%Wins50%
70%Over 1.590%
30%Over 2.570%
50%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Alaves DLLWD
D 19 Sept Athletic C Alaves 0 0 1.65 6.00
L 15 Sept Alaves Valencia 0 1 1.80 6.00
L 12 Sept Racing S Alaves 2 1 2.65 2.65
W 6 Sept Alaves Osasuna 5 2 2.25 3.65
D 20 Aug Rayo Vallecano Alaves 1 1 2.45 3.40
W 15 Aug Alaves Getafe 3 0 2.37 3.90
D 7 Aug Racing S Alaves 1 1 2.80 2.35
W 31 Jul Alaves Castellon 3 0 1.74 4.40
W 25 Jul Girona Alaves 0 1 2.43 2.85
D 18 Jul Alaves Eibar 1 1 1.88 4.10
Villarreal WWLLL
W 20 Sept Villarreal Levante 3 1 1.60 5.60
W 17 Sept Malaga Villarreal 1 3 3.55 2.12
L 14 Sept Villarreal Betis 1 2 2.00 3.70
L 8 Sept Dortmund(Ger) Villarreal(Esp) 3 2 1.78 4.60
L 5 Sept Villarreal Dep. A Coruna 2 3 1.48 7.00
D 23 Aug Atl. Madrid Villarreal 2 2 1.87 4.40
D 16 Aug Racing S Villarreal 2 2 3.50 2.12
W 8 Aug Galatasaray Villarreal 1 2 2.55 2.55
W 5 Aug Villarreal Levante 1 0 1.92 4.05
L 1 Aug Lens Villarreal 3 1 2.22 2.92

Past meetings

Alaves
1·2·2
Villarreal
  • Mar 2026 Alaves 1 - 1 Villarreal
  • Jan 2026 Villarreal 3 - 1 Alaves
  • Mar 2025 Alaves 1 - 0 Villarreal
  • Nov 2024 Villarreal 3 - 0 Alaves
  • Feb 2024 Alaves 1 - 1 Villarreal

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Barcelona 8 +24 22
2 Atl. Madrid 8 +9 17
3 Betis 8 +2 17
4 Real Madrid 8 +10 16
5 Sevilla 8 +1 14
6 Alaves 8 +5 12
7 Dep. A Coruna 9 +2 12
8 Real Sociedad 8 -4 11
9 Villarreal 8 +1 9
10 Athletic C 7 +1 9
11 Getafe 8 -3 9
12 Rayo Vallecano 8 -5 9
13 Osasuna 8 -7 9
14 Celta Vigo 8 +2 8
15 Espanyol 8 0 8
16 Racing S 8 -10 8
17 Levante 8 -4 7
18 Elche 8 -6 6
19 Valencia 8 -9 5
20 Malaga 8 -9 4
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