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Alaves vs Valencia prediction — La Liga

La Liga · Spain
Alaves €66.70m
Full time 0 : 1
Valencia €149.10m
1 1.80
X 3.75
2 6.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
70%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.37 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Alaves 57%@1.80
Draw 26%@3.75
Valencia 17%@6.00
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 70%@1.37
Under 1.5 30%@3.20
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 39%@2.01
No 61%@1.80
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@2.87
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AlavesModelValencia
1.53xG0.86
48%Ball possession52%
14Shots8
5Shots on goal3
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
4Offside calls2
14Fouls made11
AlavesRealValencia
1.05xG0.65
43%Ball possession57%
15Shots10
3Shots on goal3
2Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards4
3Offside calls4
7Fouls made14
AlavesReal · ModelValencia
1.051.53xG0.650.86
43%48%Ball possession57%52%
1514Shots108
35Shots on goal33
25Corner kicks54
12Yellow cards42
34Offside calls42
714Fouls made1411

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AlavesPer gameValencia
1.8Goals for / game0.6
0.9Goals against / game1.7
45%Ball possession44%
14.8Shots per game8.4
6.2Corners per game3.8
1.63Expected goals0.76

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AlavesRateValencia
50%Wins10%
80%Over 1.560%
50%Over 2.550%
60%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Alaves DLWWD
D 19 Sept Athletic C Alaves 0 0 1.65 6.00
L 12 Sept Racing S Alaves 2 1 2.65 2.65
W 6 Sept Alaves Osasuna 5 2 2.25 3.65
W 28 Aug Alaves Villarreal 1 0 3.15 2.35
D 20 Aug Rayo Vallecano Alaves 1 1 2.45 3.40
W 15 Aug Alaves Getafe 3 0 2.37 3.90
D 7 Aug Racing S Alaves 1 1 2.80 2.35
W 31 Jul Alaves Castellon 3 0 1.74 4.40
W 25 Jul Girona Alaves 0 1 2.43 2.85
D 18 Jul Alaves Eibar 1 1 1.88 4.10
Valencia LLLLL
L 20 Sept Valencia Real Sociedad 2 3 2.80 2.70
L 11 Sept Sevilla Valencia 1 0 1.88 4.90
L 6 Sept Valencia Barcelona 0 5 10.50 1.30
L 30 Aug Dep. A Coruna Valencia 3 1 2.75 3.00
L 25 Aug Valencia Betis 0 1 2.82 2.75
D 22 Aug Valencia Celta Vigo 0 0 2.50 3.10
L 8 Aug Valencia Newcastle 1 2 2.95 2.25
D 1 Aug Stoke Valencia 1 1 2.88 2.55
W 28 Jul Derby Valencia 1 2 – –
L 25 Jul Valencia Castellon 1 2 1.87 4.00

Past meetings

Alaves
2·2·1
Valencia
  • Mar 2026 Valencia 3 - 2 Alaves
  • Oct 2025 Alaves 0 - 0 Valencia
  • May 2025 Alaves 1 - 0 Valencia
  • Dec 2024 Valencia 2 - 2 Alaves
  • May 2024 Valencia 0 - 1 Alaves

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Barcelona 8 +24 22
2 Atl. Madrid 8 +9 17
3 Betis 8 +2 17
4 Real Madrid 8 +10 16
5 Sevilla 8 +1 14
6 Alaves 8 +5 12
7 Dep. A Coruna 9 +2 12
8 Real Sociedad 8 -4 11
9 Villarreal 8 +1 9
10 Athletic C 7 +1 9
11 Getafe 8 -3 9
12 Rayo Vallecano 8 -5 9
13 Osasuna 8 -7 9
14 Celta Vigo 8 +2 8
15 Espanyol 8 0 8
16 Racing S 8 -10 8
17 Levante 8 -4 7
18 Elche 8 -6 6
19 Valencia 8 -9 5
20 Malaga 8 -9 4
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day