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Alaves vs Malaga prediction — La Liga

La Liga · Spain
1 1.75
X 3.90
2 5.75

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick
83%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.30 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Alaves 49%@1.75
Draw 30%@3.90
Malaga 21%@5.75
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 17%@6.35
Under 3.5 83%@1.30
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 40%@2.10
No 60%@1.78
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 75%@1.36
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What the model expects over a full match.

AlavesStatMalaga
1.32xG0.81
45%Ball possession55%
13Shots10
5Shots on goal3
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
3Offside calls1
13Fouls made12

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AlavesPer gameMalaga
1.4Goals for / game0.8
1.1Goals against / game2.0
42%Ball possession51%
12.8Shots per game11.3
3.8Corners per game5.6
1.25Expected goals0.85

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AlavesRateMalaga
30%Wins0%
70%Over 1.580%
50%Over 2.540%
60%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Alaves LLDLL
L 18 Oct Celta Vigo Alaves 2 1 2.30 3.50
L 10 Oct Alaves Atl. Madrid 1 2 4.50 1.85
D 19 Sept Athletic C Alaves 0 0 1.65 6.00
L 15 Sept Alaves Valencia 0 1 1.80 6.00
L 12 Sept Racing S Alaves 2 1 2.65 2.65
W 6 Sept Alaves Osasuna 5 2 2.25 3.65
W 28 Aug Alaves Villarreal 1 0 3.15 2.35
D 20 Aug Rayo Vallecano Alaves 1 1 2.45 3.40
W 15 Aug Alaves Getafe 3 0 2.37 3.90
D 7 Aug Racing S Alaves 1 1 2.80 2.35
Malaga LDLLD
L 18 Oct Malaga Real Sociedad 2 5 3.40 2.11
D 9 Oct Malaga Espanyol 1 1 2.85 2.67
L 20 Sept Getafe Malaga 1 0 1.94 4.55
L 17 Sept Malaga Villarreal 1 3 3.55 2.12
D 13 Sept Celta Vigo Malaga 1 1 1.76 5.25
D 6 Sept Malaga Levante 0 0 2.45 3.00
L 30 Aug Real Madrid Malaga 4 0 1.12 26.00
D 24 Aug Malaga Dep. A Coruna 1 1 2.62 3.40
L 19 Aug Atl. Madrid Malaga 2 0 1.52 7.50
D 12 Aug Malaga Fulham 2 2 3.75 2.00

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Barcelona 11 +30 29
2 Atl. Madrid 11 +11 24
3 Real Madrid 11 +14 23
4 Betis 11 +2 21
5 Real Sociedad 11 0 18
6 Sevilla 11 -2 16
7 Alaves 11 +3 13
8 Celta Vigo 11 +3 13
9 Dep. A Coruna 11 +1 13
10 Osasuna 11 -8 13
11 Athletic C 11 -1 12
12 Levante 11 -2 12
13 Rayo Vallecano 11 -5 12
14 Villarreal 11 0 11
15 Getafe 11 -6 11
16 Espanyol 11 -1 10
17 Racing S 11 -12 10
18 Elche 11 -6 9
19 Valencia 11 -9 8
20 Malaga 11 -12 6