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Ajax vs Willem II prediction — Eredivisie

Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax €218.70m
Full time 5 : 1
Willem II €21.65m
1 1.13
X 12.50
2 23.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
57%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @6.60 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Ajax 43%@1.13
Draw 37%@12.50
Willem II 20%@23.00
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 80%@1.58
Under 3.5 20%@6.32
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 73%@1.90
No 27%@1.96

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AjaxModelWillem II
2.78xG1.10
61%Ball possession39%
27Shots9
8Shots on goal3
7Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
10Fouls made11
AjaxRealWillem II
3.74xG1.58
70%Ball possession30%
33Shots10
13Shots on goal4
14Corner kicks2
3Offside calls4
6Fouls made3
AjaxReal · ModelWillem II
3.742.78xG1.581.10
70%61%Ball possession30%39%
3327Shots109
138Shots on goal43
147Corner kicks24
31Offside calls41
610Fouls made311

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AjaxPer gameWillem II
3.1Goals for / game1.3
1.5Goals against / game2.0
62%Ball possession38%
22.8Shots per game11.2
7.8Corners per game4.2
2.91Expected goals1.31

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AjaxRateWillem II
70%Wins30%
100%Over 1.590%
90%Over 2.580%
80%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Ajax DWLWW
D 19 Sept Ajax Excelsior 2 2 1.24 12.00
W 12 Sept Sittard (Ned) Ajax 1 5 7.20 1.44
L 5 Sept Ajax PSV 1 3 2.62 2.55
W 30 Aug Telstar Ajax 0 4 5.70 1.54
W 27 Aug Ajax(Ned) Sion(Sui) 5 3 1.44 8.00
W 20 Aug Sion(Sui) Ajax(Ned) 2 4 4.25 1.82
D 16 Aug Ajax Heerenveen 2 2 1.50 6.30
D 13 Aug Shelbourne(Irl) Ajax(Ned) 2 2 12.00 1.24
W 9 Aug Zwolle Ajax 0 2 6.40 1.52
W 6 Aug Ajax Shelbourne 3 1 1.06 35.00
Willem II LDLDL
L 19 Sept Willem II Sittard (Ned) 0 1 2.60 2.65
D 11 Sept AZ Alkmaar Willem II 1 1 1.19 17.00
L 5 Sept Willem II Excelsior 0 3 3.05 2.27
D 30 Aug Willem II Heerenveen 2 2 4.20 1.82
L 15 Aug Willem II Nijmegen 1 4 5.10 1.67
L 8 Aug G.A. Eagles Willem II 4 1 1.53 6.00
W 1 Aug Willem II OFI 2 1 – –
W 25 Jul Willem II KV Mechelen 1 0 3.00 2.17
D 22 Jul Willem II Jong AZ 0 0 – –
D 11 Jul Willem II FC Eindhoven 2 2 1.79 3.50

Past meetings

Ajax
2·0·0
Willem II
  • Apr 2025 Willem II 1 - 2 Ajax
  • Oct 2024 Ajax 1 - 0 Willem II

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 8 +12 20
2 Feyenoord 8 +18 18
3 PSV 8 +14 17
4 Twente 8 +8 17
5 Ajax 8 +12 15
6 Sittard (Ned) 8 -1 14
7 Excelsior 9 +6 13
8 Groningen 8 +2 12
9 G.A. Eagles 8 +2 11
10 Heerenveen 9 +2 11
11 Nijmegen 8 -1 9
12 S. Rotterdam 8 -7 6
13 Telstar 8 -7 6
14 Cambuur 8 -9 6
15 Utrecht 8 -13 6
16 Zwolle 8 -14 5
17 Den Haag 8 -10 3
18 Willem II 8 -14 3
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day