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Ajax vs PSV prediction — Eredivisie

Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax €185.10m
Full time 1 : 3
PSV €272.60m
1 2.62
X 3.90
2 2.55

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
85%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.33 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Ajax 28%@2.62
Draw 43%@3.90
PSV 29%@2.55
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 79%@1.33
Under 2.5 21%@5.00
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 69%@1.30
No 31%@3.40
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 55%@1.66
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AjaxModelPSV
2.98xG2.73
51%Ball possession49%
23Shots21
12Shots on goal11
8Corner kicks8
2Yellow cards1
2Offside calls1
9Fouls made8
AjaxRealPSV
1.80xG2.61
53%Ball possession47%
19Shots13
6Shots on goal5
1Corner kicks1
2Yellow cards4
1Offside calls1
6Fouls made13
AjaxReal · ModelPSV
1.802.98xG2.612.73
53%51%Ball possession47%49%
1923Shots1321
612Shots on goal511
18Corner kicks18
22Yellow cards41
12Offside calls11
69Fouls made138

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AjaxPer gamePSV
3.1Goals for / game2.9
1.3Goals against / game1.8
63%Ball possession53%
22.7Shots per game17.6
8.2Corners per game6.1
2.88Expected goals2.01

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AjaxRatePSV
80%Wins50%
100%Over 1.5100%
90%Over 2.590%
80%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Ajax DWWWW
D 19 Sept Ajax Excelsior 2 2 1.24 12.00
W 15 Sept Ajax Willem II 5 1 1.13 23.00
W 12 Sept Sittard (Ned) Ajax 1 5 7.20 1.44
W 30 Aug Telstar Ajax 0 4 5.70 1.54
W 27 Aug Ajax(Ned) Sion(Sui) 5 3 1.44 8.00
W 20 Aug Sion(Sui) Ajax(Ned) 2 4 4.25 1.82
D 16 Aug Ajax Heerenveen 2 2 1.50 6.30
D 13 Aug Shelbourne(Irl) Ajax(Ned) 2 2 12.00 1.24
W 9 Aug Zwolle Ajax 0 2 6.40 1.52
W 6 Aug Ajax Shelbourne 3 1 1.06 35.00
PSV LWDWW
L 20 Sept Twente PSV 3 2 2.90 2.22
W 13 Sept PSV S. Rotterdam 4 1 1.22 13.50
D 10 Sept PSV(Ned) Shakhtar (Ukr) 1 1 1.53 6.40
W 30 Aug Utrecht PSV 1 6 5.60 1.53
W 23 Aug PSV Groningen 5 1 1.30 10.00
W 15 Aug Excelsior PSV 1 2 6.80 1.47
D 8 Aug PSV Sittard (Ned) 2 2 1.19 17.00
L 2 Aug PSV AZ Alkmaar 0 4 1.67 5.25
W 28 Jul PSV FC Eindhoven 3 0 1.42 6.00
L 25 Jul PSV Villarreal 1 3 1.83 3.70

Past meetings

Ajax
2·3·0
PSV
  • May 2026 Ajax 2 - 2 PSV
  • Sept 2025 PSV 2 - 2 Ajax
  • Mar 2025 PSV 0 - 2 Ajax
  • Nov 2024 Ajax 3 - 2 PSV
  • Feb 2024 Ajax 1 - 1 PSV

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 8 +12 20
2 Feyenoord 8 +18 18
3 PSV 8 +14 17
4 Twente 8 +8 17
5 Ajax 8 +12 15
6 Sittard (Ned) 8 -1 14
7 Excelsior 9 +6 13
8 Groningen 8 +2 12
9 G.A. Eagles 8 +2 11
10 Heerenveen 9 +2 11
11 Nijmegen 8 -1 9
12 S. Rotterdam 8 -7 6
13 Telstar 8 -7 6
14 Cambuur 8 -9 6
15 Utrecht 8 -13 6
16 Zwolle 8 -14 5
17 Den Haag 8 -10 3
18 Willem II 8 -14 3
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day