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Ajax vs Excelsior prediction — Eredivisie

Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax €218.70m
Full time 2 : 2
Excelsior €17.12m
1 1.24
X 7.30
2 12.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
92%Chance
Ajax win 1 Odds @1.24 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Ajax 92%@1.24
Draw 5%@7.30
Excelsior 3%@12.00
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 89%@1.30
Under 2.5 11%@10.52
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.65
No 40%@2.17
Bet Builder
1X & Over 2.5 88%@1.42
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 3:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AjaxModelExcelsior
2.87xG1.33
58%Ball possession42%
28Shots11
8Shots on goal4
8Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls0
10Fouls made12
AjaxRealExcelsior
2.27xG0.82
81%Ball possession19%
33Shots4
8Shots on goal2
9Corner kicks0
1Yellow cards2
3Offside calls0
6Fouls made12
AjaxReal · ModelExcelsior
2.272.87xG0.821.33
81%58%Ball possession19%42%
3328Shots411
88Shots on goal24
98Corner kicks04
12Yellow cards22
32Offside calls00
610Fouls made1212

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AjaxPer gameExcelsior
3.3Goals for / game2.7
1.5Goals against / game1.0
63%Ball possession44%
24.0Shots per game12.5
8.4Corners per game5.0
2.96Expected goals1.53

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AjaxRateExcelsior
70%Wins70%
100%Over 1.5100%
90%Over 2.590%
80%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Ajax WWLWW
W 15 Sept Ajax Willem II 5 1 1.13 23.00
W 12 Sept Sittard (Ned) Ajax 1 5 7.20 1.44
L 5 Sept Ajax PSV 1 3 2.62 2.55
W 30 Aug Telstar Ajax 0 4 5.70 1.54
W 27 Aug Ajax(Ned) Sion(Sui) 5 3 1.44 8.00
W 20 Aug Sion(Sui) Ajax(Ned) 2 4 4.25 1.82
D 16 Aug Ajax Heerenveen 2 2 1.50 6.30
D 13 Aug Shelbourne(Irl) Ajax(Ned) 2 2 12.00 1.24
W 9 Aug Zwolle Ajax 0 2 6.40 1.52
W 6 Aug Ajax Shelbourne 3 1 1.06 35.00
Excelsior LDWWL
L 13 Sept Excelsior Utrecht 1 2 2.12 3.30
D 8 Sept Nijmegen Excelsior 2 2 1.97 3.90
W 5 Sept Willem II Excelsior 0 3 3.05 2.27
W 29 Aug Excelsior S. Rotterdam 2 1 2.22 3.10
L 15 Aug Excelsior PSV 1 2 6.80 1.47
W 7 Aug Cambuur Excelsior 0 4 2.67 2.72
W 1 Aug De Graafschap Excelsior 1 5 3.00 1.97
W 24 Jul Heracles Excelsior 1 4 – –
W 18 Jul NAC Breda Excelsior 1 3 2.52 2.45
W 11 Jul Dordrecht Excelsior 0 2 – –

Past meetings

Ajax
0·2·1
Excelsior
  • Feb 2026 Excelsior 2 - 2 Ajax
  • Nov 2025 Ajax 1 - 2 Excelsior
  • Apr 2024 Ajax 2 - 2 Excelsior

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 8 +12 20
2 Feyenoord 8 +18 18
3 PSV 8 +14 17
4 Twente 8 +8 17
5 Ajax 8 +12 15
6 Sittard (Ned) 8 -1 14
7 Excelsior 9 +6 13
8 Groningen 8 +2 12
9 G.A. Eagles 8 +2 11
10 Heerenveen 9 +2 11
11 Nijmegen 8 -1 9
12 S. Rotterdam 8 -7 6
13 Telstar 8 -7 6
14 Cambuur 8 -9 6
15 Utrecht 8 -13 6
16 Zwolle 8 -14 5
17 Den Haag 8 -10 3
18 Willem II 8 -14 3
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day