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AC Milan vs Benfica prediction — UEFA Europa League

UEFA Europa League · World
AC Milan(Ita) €474.35m
Full time 0 : 2
Benfica(Por) €377.05m
1 2.30
X 3.75
2 3.20

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
82%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.67 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
AC Milan 27%@2.30
Draw 16%@3.75
Benfica 57%@3.20
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 82%@1.67
Under 2.5 18%@7.61
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 64%@1.55
No 36%@2.42
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 55%@1.65
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AC MilanModelBenfica
1.42xG1.81
46%Ball possession54%
14Shots17
5Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
11Fouls made12
AC MilanRealBenfica
0.96xG0.64
60%Ball possession40%
17Shots11
4Shots on goal4
10Corner kicks1
1Yellow cards5
0Offside calls3
14Fouls made12
AC MilanReal · ModelBenfica
0.961.42xG0.641.81
60%46%Ball possession40%54%
1714Shots1117
45Shots on goal45
104Corner kicks16
12Yellow cards52
01Offside calls32
1411Fouls made1212

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AC MilanPer gameBenfica
1.7Goals for / game3.4
1.5Goals against / game0.8
53%Ball possession65%
11.2Shots per game21.1
3.0Corners per game8.0
1.50Expected goals2.63

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AC MilanRateBenfica
40%Wins80%
100%Over 1.5100%
70%Over 2.590%
80%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

AC Milan(Ita) WDDWW
W 20 Sept AC Milan Lecce 3 0 1.26 14.50
D 12 Sept Lazio AC Milan 2 2 4.00 2.15
D 6 Sept Juventus AC Milan 1 1 2.25 3.85
W 28 Aug AC Milan Venezia 2 0 1.53 6.75
W 23 Aug Torino AC Milan 1 2 4.90 1.92
W 15 Aug Manchester Utd(Eng) AC Milan(Ita) 2 4 1.60 5.00
L 8 Aug Chelsea AC Milan 3 0 2.02 3.50
D 5 Aug AC Milan Inter 1 1 2.85 2.47
D 25 Jul Celtic AC Milan 2 2 2.43 2.75
L 24 May AC Milan Cagliari 1 2 1.40 10.00
Benfica(Por) LWWWW
L 20 Sept FC Porto Benfica 3 1 2.82 2.52
W 13 Sept Benfica GIL Vicente 3 1 1.14 23.00
W 9 Sept Moreirense Benfica 0 4 21.00 1.17
W 5 Sept Maritimo Benfica 0 3 16.50 1.21
W 31 Aug Benfica Estoril 2 1 1.13 24.00
W 27 Aug Aarhus(Den) Benfica(Por) 1 3 7.20 1.44
W 20 Aug Benfica(Por) Aarhus(Den) 3 1 1.14 19.00
W 17 Aug Casa Pia Benfica 0 7 17.00 1.22
D 13 Aug Heart M(Sco) Benfica(Por) 1 1 7.00 1.49
D 9 Aug Benfica Academico Viseu 2 2 1.14 21.00

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

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