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Aarau vs Xamax prediction — Challenge League

Challenge League · Switzerland
Aarau €5.53m
Full time 2 : 1
Xamax €4.90m
1 2.02
X 3.65
2 3.30

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
71%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.57 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Aarau 28%@2.02
Draw 15%@3.65
Xamax 57%@3.30
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 71%@1.57
Under 2.5 29%@3.84
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.52
No 42%@2.52
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 55%@1.52
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AarauModelXamax
1.02xG1.35
51%Ball possession49%
16Shots12
7Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
15Fouls made13
AarauRealXamax
2.18xG0.35
43%Ball possession57%
20Shots8
6Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards3
3Offside calls1
23Fouls made9
AarauReal · ModelXamax
2.181.02xG0.351.35
43%51%Ball possession57%49%
2016Shots812
67Shots on goal35
46Corner kicks54
32Yellow cards32
31Offside calls11
2315Fouls made913

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AarauPer gameXamax
1.1Goals for / game1.5
1.7Goals against / game2.0
49%Ball possession47%
14.9Shots per game11.0
5.7Corners per game4.5
0.95Expected goals1.46

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AarauRateXamax
20%Wins40%
80%Over 1.580%
70%Over 2.580%
70%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Aarau LLDWD
L 2 Oct Aarau(Sui) Young Boys(Sui) 1 2 6.60 1.32
L 18 Sept Winterthur Aarau 2 1 2.00 3.25
D 12 Sept Aarau Kriens 2 2 1.65 4.50
W 4 Sept Aarau Rapperswil 3 2 1.65 4.30
D 31 Aug Wil Aarau 2 2 3.60 1.95
L 23 Aug Yverdon Aarau 2 1 2.18 3.05
D 16 Aug Biel Aarau 3 3 4.20 1.62
W 7 Aug Aarau Stade Nyonnais 2 1 1.34 8.50
D 1 Aug Aarau Lausanne Ouchy 1 1 2.57 2.50
L 24 Jul Etoile C Aarau 3 0 3.35 2.07
Xamax LLWLL
L 2 Oct Sochaux(Fra) Xamax(Sui) 2 1 – –
L 18 Sept Xamax Rapperswil 0 3 2.15 2.92
W 11 Sept Stade Nyonnais Xamax 1 3 3.30 2.00
L 4 Sept Winterthur Xamax 4 0 2.07 3.16
L 1 Sept Xamax Yverdon 1 2 2.67 2.37
L 21 Aug Xamax Lausanne Ouchy 1 2 3.20 2.12
D 15 Aug Meyrin Xamax 0 0 6.10 1.40
W 7 Aug Etoile C Xamax 0 1 2.45 2.57
W 31 Jul Wil Xamax 1 2 2.52 2.50
W 24 Jul Xamax Kriens 3 2 1.85 3.55

Past meetings

Aarau
5·1·0
Xamax
  • May 2026 Xamax 1 - 3 Aarau
  • Mar 2026 Aarau 1 - 0 Xamax
  • Nov 2025 Xamax 1 - 2 Aarau
  • Aug 2025 Aarau 2 - 0 Xamax
  • Apr 2025 Xamax 1 - 1 Aarau
  • Mar 2025 Aarau 2 - 0 Xamax

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 10 +14 22
2 Winterthur 10 +11 19
3 Yverdon 10 +5 17
4 Kriens 10 +5 15
5 Aarau 10 -2 13
6 Xamax 10 -5 13
7 Rapperswil 10 -1 11
8 Etoile C 10 -4 10
9 Wil 10 -6 10
10 Stade Nyonnais 10 -17 3
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