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Season 2026 Updated 5 Oct 2026

Italy Serie D - Girone D AI predictions

Follow Serie D - Girone D with daily model picks, the live standings and this season's numbers.

44%
Hit rate
18 Matches studied
71% Average chance
17 Clubs covered

18 Italy Serie D - Girone D games into the season, the numbers read like this: 28% home wins, 50% with both teams scoring and 2.83 goals per match on average. New Serie D - Girone D picks below are recorded before kickoff and graded in public afterwards. Pistoiese sit top on 19 points after 7 matches.

Goals are flowing in Italy Serie D - Girone D: 61% of games have gone over 2.5, with an average of 2.83 per match.

Next Serie D - Girone D fixtures, with picks

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Serie D - Girone D results, graded

Varesina versus Pro Patria, Serie D - Girone D (Italy), Sun, 4 Oct. Varesina 0, Pro Patria 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 4.40 on 1, 3.60 on X, 1.67 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Pro Patria win (1.67 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.76 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.74 odds). Best tip, with a 69% chance: Both teams to score (1.74 odds) — Lost.
FT
Varesina0
Pro Patria0
✗ BTTS
1.7469%
USD Casatese versus Pistoiese, Serie D - Girone D (Italy), Sun, 4 Oct. USD Casatese 0, Pistoiese 3 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 3.80 on 1, 3.40 on X, 1.82 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: USD Casatese win (3.80 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.82 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.71 odds). Best tip, with a 56% chance: Home side avoids defeat (1.80 odds) — Lost.
FT
USD Casatese0
Pistoiese3
✗ 1X
▴1.8056%
Sant'Angelo versus Castellanzese, Serie D - Girone D (Italy), Sun, 4 Oct. Sant'Angelo 1, Castellanzese 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.25 on 1, 3.15 on X, 2.90 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Sant'Angelo win (2.25 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.29 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.78 odds). Best tip, with a 75% chance: Over 1.5 goals (1.29 odds) — Won.
FT
Sant'Angelo1
Castellanzese2
✓ O1.5
1.2975%
Oltrepo versus Lentigione, Serie D - Girone D (Italy), Sun, 4 Oct. Oltrepo 1, Lentigione 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 4.65 on 1, 3.40 on X, 1.67 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Lentigione win (1.67 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.83 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.78 odds). Best tip, with a 56% chance: Lentigione win (1.67 odds) — Won.
FT
Oltrepo1
Lentigione2
✓ 2
▾1.6756%
Correggese versus Pavia, Serie D - Girone D (Italy), Sun, 4 Oct. Correggese 2, Pavia 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.30 on 1, 3.10 on X, 2.90 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Level at full time (3.10 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.55 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.70 odds). Best tip, with a 78% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.55 odds) — Lost.
FT
Correggese2
Pavia1
✗ U2.5
▾1.5578%
Arconatese versus Pro Sesto, Serie D - Girone D (Italy), Sun, 4 Oct. Arconatese 1, Pro Sesto 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 4.80 on 1, 3.65 on X, 1.60 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Pro Sesto win (1.60 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.74 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.92 odds). Best tip, with a 74% chance: Over 2.5 goals (1.74 odds) — Lost.
FT
Arconatese1
Pro Sesto1
✗ O2.5
1.7474%
Citta di Varese versus Lentigione, Serie D - Girone D (Italy), Sun, 27 Sept. Citta di Varese 1, Lentigione 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 3.25 on 1, 3.20 on X, 2.10 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Citta di Varese win (3.25 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.32 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.87 odds). Best tip, with a 73% chance: Over 1.5 goals (1.32 odds) — Won.
FT
Varese FC1
Lentigione1
✓ O1.5
▾1.3273%
USD Casatese versus Varesina, Serie D - Girone D (Italy), Sun, 27 Sept. USD Casatese 4, Varesina 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.00 on 1, 3.25 on X, 3.35 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: USD Casatese win (2.00 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.30 odds); Both teams to score: No (2.02 odds). Best tip, with a 69% chance: Home side avoids defeat (1.28 odds) — Won.
FT
USD Casatese4
Varesina2
✓ 1X
▴1.2869%
Pro Sesto versus Oltrepo, Serie D - Girone D (Italy), Sun, 27 Sept. Pro Sesto 6, Oltrepo 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.60 on 1, 3.75 on X, 4.60 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Home side avoids defeat (1.17 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.34 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.82 odds). Best tip, with a 72% chance: Under 3.5 goals (1.34 odds) — Lost.
FT
Pro Sesto6
Oltrepo1
✗ U3.5
1.3472%
Pistoiese versus Sant'Angelo, Serie D - Girone D (Italy), Sun, 27 Sept. Pistoiese 3, Sant'Angelo 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.28 on 1, 4.90 on X, 9.10 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Pistoiese win (1.28 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.68 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (2.22 odds). Best tip, with a 75% chance: Over 2.5 goals (1.68 odds) — Won.
FT
Pistoiese3
Sant'Angelo0
✓ O2.5
▾1.6875%
Pavia versus Arconatese, Serie D - Girone D (Italy), Sun, 27 Sept. Pavia 1, Arconatese 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.76 on 1, 3.35 on X, 4.40 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Pavia win (1.76 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.62 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.71 odds). Best tip, with a 75% chance: One side or both fail to score (1.71 odds) — Lost.
FT
Pavia1
Arconatese1
✗ No BTTS
▾1.7175%
Cittadella Vis Modena versus Correggese, Serie D - Girone D (Italy), Sun, 27 Sept. Cittadella Vis Modena 0, Correggese 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.67 on 1, 3.50 on X, 5.00 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Cittadella Vis Modena win (1.67 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.42 odds); Both teams to score: No (2.02 odds). Best tip, with a 77% chance: Under 3.5 goals (1.42 odds) — Won.
FT
Cittadella V0
Correggese1
✓ U3.5
▴1.4277%

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Model picks for the next Serie D - Girone D fixtures with their chances, the current standings, recently graded results and a season breakdown covering home/draw/away shares, over/under and BTTS rates. This season in Italy Serie D - Girone D: over 2.5 goals in 61% of games, 22% draws, 50% away wins.

What goes into your Serie D - Girone D predictions?

Our machine-learning model combines form, xG, injuries and past meetings, then publishes only its strongest Serie D - Girone D calls.

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