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Season 2025 Updated 5 Oct 2026

Ethiopia Premier League AI predictions

Follow Premier League with daily model picks, the live standings and this season's numbers.

68%
Hit rate
28 Matches studied
84% Average chance
20 Clubs covered

28 Ethiopia Premier League games into the season, the numbers read like this: 36% home wins, 25% with both teams scoring and 1.68 goals per match on average. New Premier League picks below are recorded before kickoff and graded in public afterwards. Welayta Dicha sit top on 35 points after 19 matches.

Ethiopia Premier League is low-scoring this season: only 25% of games pass 2.5 goals, averaging 1.68 per match. Draws are common in Ethiopia Premier League: 36% of this season's games have finished all square.

Next Premier League fixtures, with picks

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Premier League results, graded

Sidama Bunna versus Mebrat Hayl, Premier League (Ethiopia), Sun, 5 Jul. Sidama Bunna 0, Mebrat Hayl 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.02 on 1, 2.88 on X, 3.75 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Sidama Bunna win (2.02 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.40 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.57 odds). Best tip, with a 77% chance: Sidama Bunna win (2.02 odds) — Lost.
FT
Sidama Bunna0
Mebrat Hayl1
✗ 1
2.0277%
Mekelakeya versus Hadiya Hosaena, Premier League (Ethiopia), Fri, 3 Jul. Mekelakeya 0, Hadiya Hosaena 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.02 on 1, 3.10 on X, 3.90 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Home side avoids defeat (1.26 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.55 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.71 odds). Best tip, with a 86% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.55 odds) — Won.
FT
Mekelakeya0
Hadiya Hossana0
✓ U2.5
1.5586%
Welayta Dicha versus Ethiopia Bunna, Premier League (Ethiopia), Fri, 3 Jul. Welayta Dicha 0, Ethiopia Bunna 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.07 on 1, 3.00 on X, 3.50 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Welayta Dicha win (2.07 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.54 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.73 odds). Best tip, with a 88% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.54 odds) — Won.
FT
Welayta Dicha0
Ethiopia Bunna0
✓ U2.5
▴1.5488%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank versus Bahardar, Premier League (Ethiopia), Fri, 3 Jul. Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2, Bahardar 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.88 on 1, 2.76 on X, 2.55 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Bahardar win (2.55 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.37 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.57 odds). Best tip, with a 88% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.37 odds) — Lost.
FT
Ethiopia N2
Bahardar2
✗ U2.5
1.3788%
Awassa Kenema versus Adama Kenema, Premier League (Ethiopia), Thu, 2 Jul. Awassa Kenema 2, Adama Kenema 3 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 3.40 on 1, 3.00 on X, 2.65 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Awassa Kenema win (3.40 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.46 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.64 odds). Best tip, with a 88% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.46 odds) — Lost.
FT
Awassa K2
Adama City3
✗ U2.5
▾1.4688%
Fasil Ketema versus Ethiopian Medhin, Premier League (Ethiopia), Wed, 1 Jul. Fasil Ketema 1, Ethiopian Medhin 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 3.20 on 1, 2.80 on X, 2.28 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Ethiopian Medhin win (2.28 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.38 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.58 odds). Best tip, with a 82% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.38 odds) — Won.
FT
Fasil Kenema1
Ethiopian0
✓ U2.5
1.3882%
Mekelle Kenema versus Negelle Arsi, Premier League (Ethiopia), Wed, 1 Jul. Mekelle Kenema 3, Negelle Arsi 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.58 on 1, 2.75 on X, 2.91 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Negelle Arsi win (2.91 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.37 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.58 odds). Best tip, with a 88% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.37 odds) — Lost.
FT
Mekelle K3
Negelle Arsi0
✗ U2.5
▾1.3788%
Dire Dawa Kenema versus Arba Minch Kenema, Premier League (Ethiopia), Wed, 1 Jul. Dire Dawa Kenema 2, Arba Minch Kenema 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.65 on 1, 2.85 on X, 2.62 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Level at full time (2.85 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.42 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (2.15 odds). Best tip, with a 73% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.42 odds) — Lost.
FT
Dire Dawa2
Arba Menche1
✗ U2.5
▴1.4273%
Sheger Ketema versus Mekelakeya, Premier League (Ethiopia), Sun, 28 Jun. Sheger Ketema 2, Mekelakeya 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 3.05 on 1, 2.90 on X, 2.40 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Away side avoids defeat (1.25 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.44 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.66 odds). Best tip, with a 83% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.44 odds) — Won.
FT
Sheger Ketema2
Mekelakeya0
✓ U2.5
1.4483%
Mebrat Hayl versus Awassa Kenema, Premier League (Ethiopia), Sun, 28 Jun. Mebrat Hayl 1, Awassa Kenema 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 3.15 on 1, 2.70 on X, 2.60 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Level at full time (2.85 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.42 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.61 odds). Best tip, with a 86% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.42 odds) — Won.
FT
Mebrat Hayl1
Awassa K1
✓ U2.5
1.4286%
Bahardar versus Sidama Bunna, Premier League (Ethiopia), Sun, 28 Jun. Bahardar 0, Sidama Bunna 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 3.40 on 1, 2.67 on X, 2.37 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Sidama Bunna win (2.32 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.28 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.49 odds). Best tip, with a 89% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.28 odds) — Won.
FT
Bahardar0
Sidama Bunna1
✓ U2.5
1.2889%
Adama Kenema versus Welayta Dicha, Premier League (Ethiopia), Sun, 28 Jun. Adama Kenema 0, Welayta Dicha 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 3.05 on 1, 2.75 on X, 2.62 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Welayta Dicha win (2.55 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.37 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.58 odds). Best tip, with a 86% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.37 odds) — Won.
FT
Adama City0
Welayta Dicha2
✓ U2.5
1.3786%

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Model picks for the next Premier League fixtures with their chances, the current standings, recently graded results and a season breakdown covering home/draw/away shares, over/under and BTTS rates. This season in Ethiopia Premier League: over 2.5 goals in 25% of games, 36% draws, 29% away wins.

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